Strength of the Economy
(Un)scientific predictions on the strength of the Economy!
I have a theory that he number of hits to my resume per month
is a good indicator of the strength of the economy and the job
market. This is biased by the Google
phenomenon and the fact that my resume has hopefully improved over the
- Sept 2001 to Feb 2002 seems to have been the best time for techies.
- Lately there seems to be renewed interest in techies every 3 to 5 months. I call this the sunny weather phenomenon. The bosses think, "Hmm... The weather is nice, and we have waited so long, so lets go out, play and hire someone.."
- There seems to be a lot of hesitation starting in 2003. It does not look like a steady recovery.
- While the world economy is greatly influenced by factors in the US, random sampling of IP addresses accessing my resume shows a changing trend. In the heyday of the dot com era, and prior to Feb 2002, most of the hits came from the USA. Now, whenever I randomly sample an IP address it is highly likely that the address is registered with APNIC (Asia Pacific Network Information Center) hinting at tech sector growth in Asia. In particular, a lot of accesses originate in India and China with a few from Australia and Singapore.
- Stay posted -- at some point I will isolate the accesses by geographical region and this will probably give a clearer picture of the tech sector in the USA.
Update: Land sighted at last! One member of the head-hunter species believed to have been extinct announced his presence on the telephone on 7/11/03. This is the first sighting in 1.5 years. At the peak of the tech boom I used to get at least 1 call a week. Re-emergence of this species is definitely an indicator that the economy is picking up.